Wonder how hard to accidentally label it Georgia or Ukraine??
Long post. Just my WAG
Biden used an excuse of Putin poisoning a Russian magnate to punish people who did not vote for him. It will be interesting what Putin does back.
US ammo market is the largest in the world. It was easy to sell mostly in US. Russia has ability to make millions of rounds of ammo, they are the largest ammo maker in the world. Selling to 1 large market is easier than a bunch of small markets.
If they cannot sell in US, they will sell in other countries. Other countries's ammo makers will not be able to compete with Russians. But they will be able to compete with US ammo makers.
Czech, Polish, Romanian, Bulgarian costs of labor are higher that Russian, but lower than US. Turkish is probably the same as Russia.
I think long-term we will be OK. Short term, prices on all ammo will spike, including 5.56. A lot of people shoot steel 223.
And if new ammo is coming from a NATO country, Biden cannot do anything.
Also on the 20th he sanctioned 3 Russian businessmen for building Nordstream 2, the gas line from Russia to Germany. None of the Germans were sanctioned. Wonder why?
Poland, Turkey, Czechia, Romania are all in NATO now.